It seems we’ve entered yet another rout in the metals and mining stocks with several of the companies we follow closely getting sold off, testing their recent lows.
It’s frustrating. One would think that with events over the past two weeks, gold would be ripping higher, tagging all-time historical highs.
There’s been a lot of discussion on the message boards re how precious metals are becoming obsolete in this modern age—how cryptocurrencies have replaced the yellow metal as the preferred safe-haven asset of the future. How precious is that?
I’m not going to harp on the compelling fundamentals underpinning the metal, they should be exceedingly apparent by now. But I did come across this interesting stat re bitcoin, courtesy of Ryan Giannotto, director of Research at GraniteShares ETFs.
“It’s a major challenge for the asset class: it’s intended to be a financially democratizing force, yet it is so profoundly distributed in an unequal fashion. It’s really unlike anything we’ve ever seen. This is one of the perils of bitcoin investing that go unreported, undiscussed. It is a seriously cornered asset class.
Five-hundredths of a percent of bitcoin investors control over 40% of all bitcoin, and just under half a percent of all bitcoin investors control over 5/6ths, or 83%, of bitcoin.”
That 40% amounts to roughly 1,000 investors btw.
Should this tiny controlling group collectively decide to head for the exit (cash)… NnnGulp!
I’m convinced we’re in the early stages of what will evolve into an epic rally for the metal, and all things mining. Bolstering this bullish posture, several of our of the companies on our shortlist are shaking off this current market malaise and are trading closer to their highs.
Companies on our shortlist making news in recent sessions:
Defense, last featured here earlier this month, has taken flight in both price and volume, tagging an all-time high in recent sessions.
The market appears to be (finally) waking up to the strategic importance of the Company’s high-grade Wicheeda REE resource in mining-friendly B.C. (4,890,000 tonnes grading 3.02% LREO Indicated – 12,100,000 tonnes grading 2.90% LREO Inferred).
On January 13th, the Company dropped the following headline:
Here, the Company announced having commissioned the Saskatchewan Research Council (SRC) to complete an X-Ray Transmission (XRT) sorting amenability study.
“Defense Metals and SRC have been awarded National Research Council of Canada Industrial Research Assistance Program (NRC IRAP) funding, a Government of Canada funded program mandated to provide financial support for technology innovation. Funding awarded under the NRC IRAP will cover approximately 70% of the estimated cost of the XRT amenability study test-work.”
This is all about ore sorting—removing a significant component of the unmineralized waste rock resulting in a concentrated ore grade prior to processing.
This could lead to significantly lower processing costs—lower OPEX—and vastly improved project economics.
“The objective of the SRC amenability study is to investigate XRT sorting for the purpose of upgrading Wicheeda REE mineralization prior to downstream processing. Sensor-based sorting has several advantages when applied to REE mining projects in that beneficiation occurs without water and with reduced grinding requirements. The investigation will assess how much gangue can be removed from the head feed. The investigation will then carry out an iterative study of different sorting sizes to process in the XRT sorter assessing both the grade of the upgraded concentrate and the grade of the waste for economic studies whereby the optimum operational parameters can be determined.”
Craig Taylor, the Company CEO:
“Defense Metals looks forward to investigating the potential of low-cost front-end upgrading of Wicheeda REE mineralization via XRT sorting. We have already demonstrated the ability to produce a greater than 50% REO concentrate during flotation pilot plant test-work and we hope unlocking the benefits of XRT sorting will yield downstream processing benefits of increased head grade, flotation concentrate, and hydrometallurgical feed streams“.
On the subject of Wicheeda’s economics, we could see a PEA drop by the end of this quarter or early next.
And on the increasingly volatile political front, there’s this…
If you’re new to Defense and REEs, the following vid offers a good overview of the Company, the market, and the strategic importance of what Defense holds in its subsurface layers.
This early-stage, James Bay Quebec-focused ExplorerCo has my undivided attention.
I was tempted to include Harfang in my Top Three for 2021, but I opted to go with companies further along the development curve, those with a resource base backstopping their valuations, despite my penchant to swing for the fences.
Though Harfang has to be considered a high-risk proposition at this juncture, early-stage results flowing from the Company’s flagship Serpent Project are indicative of a potentially large mineralized system. That potential is further bolstered by the expertise of the team behind the project.
Bolstering this bullish assessment further still, the Company dropped the following headline on Jan. 12th:
Three new gold showings (grabs) returned values of 125, 60.5, 33.8, and 1.7 g/t Au. Scattered over 2-kilometers along the northern limits of the property, these surface values prompted the Company to dramatically increase its land holdings in the region.
With the addition of these new claims (293 claims covering 15,140 ha), Harfang now controls 43,452 highly prospective hectares in the region.
The Company states:
“The newly-discovered high-grade gold occurrences open up a totally new prospective area at Serpent that has never been prospected, immediately west and north of LaSalle Exploration’s Radisson Property. Harfang believes that these findings are linked to multiple regional East-West structural breaks among which the parallel Stu structure could be one of the dominant features. Harfang now controls most of the auriferous structural breaks extending over more than 20 km in an East-West direction.”
“Geological mapping and surface prospecting along structural breaks parallel and north to the Stu structure reveal gold showings corresponding to quartz veins hosted into sheared, foliated and gneissic tonalite and granodiorite considered to be part of the old Archean basement (Langelier Complex). The gold-bearing veins contain disseminated pyrite locally and resemble other gold occurrences found on the Property since 2017. The Stu structure, oriented into a N290° direction, is spatially associated with a >8 km2 gold-in-till anomaly and abundant gold occurrences on the Property (see press release dated on October 20, 2020).”
Harfang is in the midst of a winter program consisting of grid cutting and an induced polarization survey.
According to this press release, the Company is in now receipt of analytical results from the majority of rock, till, and soil samples collected during the fall exploration program and will disclose these values as soon as they are compiled.
“All data will determine final targets for the first-ever drill program on the Property.”
This press release also announced the appointment of François Huot as VP of Exploration.
The Harfang team now includes two ex Virginia Gold rock-sleuths. If you checked out the ABOUT link at the top of the page, you’ll know that Virginia Gold made quite an impression on me. Virginia Gold’s Eleonore discovery, in this very same region, was the subject of a fat takeover bid by Goldcorp back in December of 2005. I was a large (large for me) shareholder at the time.
Appointment of François Huot as VP, Exploration
Harfang Exploration Inc. is also very pleased to announce the appointment of Mr. François Huot as Vice-President Exploration of the Company. Mr. Huot takes the leading role in operations and development of projects for Harfang.
Since January 2018 he served as the Chief geologist for Harfang. During his career, he accumulated more than 17 years of experience in mining exploration in Québec both as a Senior geologist with Virginia Mines and as a consultant. He has a lot of experience in grassroot exploration in James Bay and Nunavik, particularly on base metal (Ni-Cu-PGE and VMS settings) and gold ore deposits. François was a professor at the Department of Geology and Geological Engineering of Université Laval.
Mr. Huot holds a PhD. in Marine Geosciences from Université de Bretagne occidentale in France (2001) and a M.Sc. (1997) and B.Sc. (1994) degrees in Geology from Université Laval. He is member of l’Ordre des géologues du Québec since 2003.
Harfang checks a lot of boxes for me. And it’s tight share structure ensures that any significant discovery success will reflect well in its underlying common.
I added to my Harfang position shortly after the above headline dropped.
I’m extremely biased over here (do your own due diligence).
After an orderly multi-month downtrend, Minnova went on a high volume tear, all of a sudden, beginning only a few sessions back.
I couldn’t find a news catalyst to account for this price/volume surge, though Vince Marciano—The Stateside Report—did feature the Company on his latest podcast, the day it took flight. Coincidence? Probably not. I highly recommend Vince’s podcast. He boasts a large and growing audience… and for good reason.
In my January 4th, 2021 Highballer report, I served up the following lament (whine) regarding Minnova’s price performance over the past five months:
We were off to an auspicious start with this one—a potential 100% gain within two days of initiating coverage. Unfortunately, that brief early August flourish marked Minnova’s highs for the year.
I was tempted to drop Minnova from our list but the fundamentals here—the asset, the jurisdiction, the infrastructure—are still intact. The question is: can management execute?
I kept Minnova on our shortlist despite the lack of follow-through from last summer’s price strength. The fundamentals remain intact and I suspect we’ll now see a determined push along the development curve for this advanced stage asset.
The economics do appear compelling.
A Feasibility Study (FS) tabled back in 2017, using a US $1,250 gold price, demonstrates the following values:
- An after-tax NPV at a 5% discount rate of Cdn $36.7 million
- An after-tax IRR of 53%;
- A LOM OPEX = Cdn $162/tonne–US$750 /oz;
- Total estimated CAPEX = Cdn $35M;
- A swift payback period of ~1.5 years.
The Company now needs to bulk up its resource base, to add more life to this (potential) mining scenario. With kilometers of untested strike and a new geological model, we could substantial resource expansion, which could lead to a significant re-rating in the Company’s common shares.
On January 7th, the Company announced the following raise:
Gorden Glenn, Minnova’s CEO:
“Proceeds from this financing will enable the company to aggressively advance the project with additional step-out and in-fill drilling that will support an updated resource estimate targeted for late Q2 2021. Step out drilling will target the PL North mineralized structures (PLN). This target is located outside the limits of the current PL deposit resource. Recent drilling has identified a number of high-grade gold mineralized structures at relatively shallow depths. The PLN target area is located just 300 m west of the 1000 tpd mill. Considering the shallow depths and proximal location, relative to the mill, the PLN target will be prioritized for drilling as it could materially impact the resource and future mine development plan. We also plan to make our first hires for our development and operations team and initiate various optimization studies which will include test mining and bulk sampling programs.”
My maiden piece on Minnova—A new addition to the Highballer shortlist – Minnova Corp (MCI.V)—received a lot of positive feedback and will bring you up to speed if you’re new to the company.
Though the Company’s website could use a major overhaul… points to management for updating its pitch-deck.
Prime, a recent addition to the Highballer shortlist, was first here 1.5 months ago at $1.52. It’s now changing hands north of $2.00.
I also made Prime one of my Top Three for 2021.
My maiden article over at Equity Guru offers a lot of detail on the Company and can be accessed by tapping the following link…
The Company’s price action in recent sessions has it bucking the general market malaise, testing its all-time highs (the Company made its market debut in September of 2019).
Pushing its historically productive Los Reyes gold and silver project further along the curve, the Company offered the following update on Jan. 6th:
Prime hit the ground running in 2020, dropping a large volume of surface sampling results, demonstrating significant (outcropping) mineralized areas with good grades over very decent widths. This mineralization was tagged outside the historical resources at Zapote North and Zapote South.
In early April of 2020, Prime announced a Measured and Indicated (pit-constrained) oxide resource for the project totaling 19.8 million tonnes at 1.0 g/t Au, plus 26.2 g/t Ag for 633,000 oz Au and plus 16.6 million oz Ag (See news release dated April 2, 2020).
The project holds substantial resource/exploration upside based on open extensions of known resources. Ten kilometers of undrilled strike, and at least eight additional exploration targets amplify this latent potential.
Los Reyes – 2020 Progress
The Los Reyes Gold-Silver Project is a district scale epithermal gold-silver project in a prolific mining region of Mexico. Mineralization in the Los Reyes area is typical of low sulfidation epithermal gold/silver systems. Over US$20M in exploration and engineering has already been spent on Los Reyes over 25 years. Previous operators completed various prefeasibility studies but held back from development due to declining gold prices. While the initial work completed provides sufficient understanding of resources to fast-track Los Reyes to production, the work to-date has been conducted over less than 40% of the known structures. Additionally, the depth potential of what is essentially an intact epithermal gold-silver system has been inadequately explored. This leaves significant opportunities to materially expand known resources.
Significant exploration progress has been made to date at Los Reyes. This ongoing work includes field mapping, trench sampling, rock alteration analysis and interpretation and re-logging of historic diamond drill core. This work led to a structural and rock alteration interpretation that is being used to guide the Company’s first diamond drill exploration program. Re-logging of several existing diamond drill core holes also identified that adularia, a crystalline mineral, containing high-grade gold and silver locally with visible gold, is associated with nearby altered rock types. The adularia appears to be vertically zoned. This zoning may provide a guide to effectively target areas of higher-grade gold and silver at depth below currently known mineralization. A study of alteration types indicates that the clay kaolinite is related to the main mineralizing event and may be considered a pathfinder to locations of higher-grade mineralization. Secondary clays may also serve to indicate higher-grade; these secondary clays include smectite, illite and montmorillonite. The initial data set was limited in size, so with the data available to-date, no assumptions can be made as to the lateral or vertical extent of gold-silver zoning. Data will continue to be collected and analyzed throughout the drill program.
Prime is currently in the midst of a 15,000 meter, phase-1 drilling campaign.
“The phase-1 program will allow for the first wireframed and integrated geological, structural, and alteration model to be developed for Los Reyes and will serve as the framework for the exploration and expansion of the known deposits and the discovery of new deposits at Los Reyes.”
Los Reyes – 2021 Exploration and Development Plans
- Add a second drill contractor in early January.
- Expand the in-pit resources along strike and down dip. In addition, the drilling will infill areas to increase measured and indicated resources from inferred and provide silver assay data which is currently absent from parts of the historic reverse-circulation drill data.
- Target deeper sections at Guadalupe East and other east extensions at depth for higher grade material, where drilling has yet to intersect the interpreted optimum boiling level stratigraphy for higher-grade portions of the deposits. It is believed that a significant opportunity exists to develop underground resource potential.
- Target undrilled mineralized structures such as Fresnillo, Las Primas, Orito, and newly identified structures proximal to Guadalupe. These structures offer both open pit and significant underground opportunities for resource expansion and discovery.
- Increase access to new areas by re-habilitating existing access roads and trails.
- Complete the Phase 1 drill program in the first half of 2021.
- Re-model the Los Reyes deposit during the rainy season (June to October) and develop additional resource expansion targets.
- Add infrastructure required at the project to support an expanded Phase II drill program starting in mid-October that focuses on both in-fill and resource expansion drilling.
- Continue ongoing baseline survey work in support of the established project permitting process.
- Continue our ongoing community engagement program.
Prime currently has ~C$7M in its treasury and a number of deep in-the-money warrants expiring in August of 2021. If (when) exercised, these warrants will add another $7M to the Company coffers.
Expertly helmed by a highly-skilled technical, management, and governance team, I view Prime as a core holding—there’s a very decent balance of risk vs reward here, IMO.
Skeena continues to deliver excellent results from its flagship Eskay Creek Project located in the prolific Golden Triangle of British Columbia.
A Jan. 6th headline:
Here, the Company released additional diamond drill results from a (combined) phase 1 and phase 2 campaign of definition and exploration drilling. The Phase 2 infill program, focused on resource category conversions for its Pre-Feasibility Study, is on-going with six drill rigs.
Infill Drilling Highlights
- 3.05 g/t Au, 221 g/t Ag (6.00 g/t AuEq), over 26.28 meters (SK-20-481);
- 4.44 g/t Au, 228 g/t Ag (7.48 g/t AuEq), over 14.50 meters (SK-20-500);
- 12.94 g/t Au, 503 g/t Ag (19.65 g/t AuEq), over 9.87 meters (SK-20-507)
21 B & C Zone:
- 3.65 g/t Au, 5 g/t Ag (3.71 g/t AuEq), over 25.71 meters (SK-20-494);
- 3.23 g/t Au, 9 g/t Ag (3.35 g/t AuEq), over 29.35 meters (SK-20-483);
- 2.82 g/t Au, 10 g/t Ag (2.95 g/t AuEq), over 31.10 meters (SK-20-484);
- 5.34 g/t Au, 7 g/t Ag (5.44 g/t AuEq), over 28.65 meters (SK-20-486)
Shallow High-Grade Mineralization Discovered in 22 Zone
The Inferred ounces reported in the Company’s 2019 Mineral Resource Estimate for the southeastern portion of the 22 Zone was calculated using widely spaced (historical) drill hole data. Recent infill drilling in the 22 Zone tagged Au-Ag mineralization at surface, within the current pit parameters.
This represents a new discovery as the area was thought to host primarily waste rock.
This new discovery is highlighted by the 2020 phase-1 intercept of 3.05 g/t Au, 221 g/t Ag (6.00 g/t AuEq), over 26.28 meters which includes high-tenor sub-intervals grading 7.82 g/t Au, 724 g/t Ag (17.47 g/t AuEq) over 1.35 meters and 3.18 g/t Au, 2,210 g/t Ag (32.65 g/t AuEq) over 1.50 meters (SK-20-481), starting at 1.22 meters from surface. This mineralization is corroborated up-dip by SK-20-437 and SK-20-438 which intersected 2.45 g/t AuEq over 21.00 meters and 3.16 g/t AuEq over 13.00 meters respectively (Image below).
Paul Geddes, Skeena’s VP of Exploration and Resource Development:
“This new discovery within the pit-constrained 22 Zone resource model was originally considered an area of unmineralized waste due to a lack of drilling and as such was not incorporated into Skeena’s 2019 PEA. The grade and location of these recent intersections are expected to translate into additional resources when the 2020 drilling data is incorporated into the new resource model during Q1 2021.”
Preliminary Tom MacKay Exploration Identifies Footwall Replacement Mineralization
The Tom MacKay Zone is situated 2,500 meters southwest of the main Eskay Creek deposits and represents a near-surface, sparsely drilled historical Au-Ag occurrence hosted in footwall andesites, intermediate volcanic, and the Even Lower Mudstone (ELM).
The Company drilled a total of nine surface drill holes in this area, fanned from two drill pads, to confirm the historical data, gain geological understanding, and to test for additional mineralization.
This initial program of exploratory drilling yielded discordant replacement style Au-Ag mineralization. Results included: 4.99 g/t Au, 5 g/t Ag (5.05 g/t AuEq), over 10.50 metres, including 24.20 g/t Au, <5 g/t Ag (24.20 g/t AuEq), over 1.50 metres (SK-20-466), 2.02 g/t Au, 14 g/t Ag (2.21 g/t AuEq), over 14.50 metres (SK-20-464) and 3.29 g/t Au, 9 g/t Ag (3.41 g/t AuEq), over 9.40 metres, including 14.10 g/t Au, 19 g/t Ag (14.35 g/t AuEq), over 1.40 metres (SK-20-433).
As mentioned above, the Company currently has six drill rigs operating to finalize this phase of category conversion drilling.
This phase has likely come to an end.
The rigs are being re-assigned to a 5,000-meter exploration program testing targets in the near-mine environment.
All results from this phase-2 program will be incorporated into an updated resource estimate scheduled to drop later this year.
The following link takes you to a recent interview with Paul Geddes, Skeena’s VP of Exploration…
This just in…
That is one boomer of a headline.
Eskay Creek appears well on its way to achieving Tier-1 status (5M ounces, 500k of yearly production over a 10-year mine life).
Eskay Creek Infill Drilling Highlights 21B and 21C Zones:
- 3.18 g/t Au, 27 g/t Ag (3.54 g/t AuEq) over 40.50 meters (SK-20-492);
- 4.67 g/t Au, 35 g/t Ag (5.14 g/t AuEq) over 21.50 meters (SK-20-493);
- 4.73 g/t Au, 67 g/t Ag (5.63 g/t AuEq) over 22.80 meters (SK-20-563);
- 5.69 g/t Au, 151 g/t Ag (7.70 g/t AuEq) over 22.11 meters (SK-20-584);
- 7.17 g/t Au, 146 g/t Ag (9.12 g/t AuEq) over 49.60 meters (SK-20-579)
The completed Phase 2 infill program was designed to convert Inferred resources to Indicated and Measured categories; results are encouraging and continue to demonstrate the high tenor of the proposed Eskay Creek open-pit mine. Most notably, the intersection of 7.17 g/t Au, 146 g/t Ag (9.12 g/t AuEq) over 49.60 m in the 21C Zone (SK-20-579) is within the 25 m “development buffer” around historic workings that Skeena was previously restricted from drilling. Mineralization here is hosted largely in footwall rhyolite flows and breccias with a short interval of lessor grade contained within the hanging wall Contact Mudstone. The drill hole pierced historical backfilled workings (at 158.00-159.50 m) which was incorporated as zero grade dilution within the reporting of the length-weighted composite, above.
Approximately 200 m to the east in the 21B Zone, unexpected remnant mineralization, left by the previous operator, was intersected in the Contact Mudstone in the immediate hanging wall to a backfilled stope as demonstrated by 13.32 g/t AuEq over 2.61 m (SK-20-563). In the footwall to the same stope, additional high-grade was expected in the rhyolite and was confirmed by a thick intersection grading 5.63 g/t AuEq over 22.80 m. This corroborates the existing rhyolite-hosted inferred resources.
We received (final) assays from Strategic’s flagship Mount Hinton Project located in the prolific Keno Hill mining camp, central Yukon.
Highlights from this final batch of 2020 diamond drill assays include:
- 4.78 g/t gold over 12.14 m including 42.7 g/t gold over 0.96 meters in hole MH-20-022 (Southwest Zone);
- 3.86 g/t gold and 182 g/t silver over 9.75 meters in hole MH-20-018 (Southwest Zone);
- 6.74 g/t gold and 186 g/t silver over 7.25 meters including 1.77 meters grading 22.7 g/t gold and 514 g/t silver, in hole MH-20-019 (Granite North Zone);
- 17.00 g/t gold over 1.56 meters in hole MH-20-032 (Granite North Zone);
- 9.57 g/t gold over 1.47 meters including 0.52 meters grading 25.8 g/t gold in hole MH-20-023 (Granite North Zone).
These are good results, but the market was likely looking for values more in line with the high-grades encountered along surface (pre-drill rig mobilization)—more in line with the uber high-grades Keno Hill is famous for. A very recent example: Alexco Extends Bermingham High-Grade Mineralization at Depth, Intersects 3,583 g/t Silver over 8.76 meters True Width and Other Significant Results.
“The 2020 drill program tested parts of three zones within a 6 by 4.5 km area of known mineralization and gold-rich soil geochemistry (map below). The targets in all three zones were vein complexes cutting a west dipping stratigraphic section comprising thick quartzite beds interlayered with lesser phyllite horizons and gabbro sills. These are the same units that host the mineralized veins on the adjacent Keno Hill property.”
Doug Eaton, Strategic’s CEO:
“Results from the Company’s maiden drill program at Mt. Hinton have successfully confirmed the presence of a large, well mineralized, precious metal system consisting of numerous quartz veins containing coarse gold. The recessive weathering nature of the veins, the complex structural setting, and the irregular distribution of the gold have presented challenges, but additional drilling is definitely warranted to expand the areas of drill-confirmed mineralization and evaluate other promising targets elsewhere on this camp-scale project.”
So, that’s it for Mount Hinton until the Company mobilizes a rig next summer (the 2020 campaign began in late July).
Strategic, being a prospect generator, may opt to bring in a partner to do most of the heavy lifting for this next round.
Some may be wondering if it’s worth continuing to hold this stock in light of these recent results. “Can my funds be put to better use elsewhere?” That’s not for me to say. But the Company does offer the following valuation summary at the bottom of this January 13th press release:
Strategic is a project generator with a portfolio of more than 130 projects that are the product of over 50 years of focused exploration and research by a team with a track record of major discoveries. Current projects include more than 80 properties where precious metals are a major component. Projects available for option, joint venture or sale include drill-confirmed prospects and drill-ready targets with high-grade surface showings and/or geochemical anomalies and geophysical features that resemble those at nearby deposits.
Strategic has a current cash position of over $9 million and large shareholdings in a number of active mineral exploration companies including 38.9% of GGL Resources Corp., 33.5% of Rockhaven Resources Ltd., 19.2% of Precipitate Gold Corp. and 18.7% of Silver Range Resources Ltd. All of these companies are well funded and are engaged in promising exploration projects. Strategic also owns 21.9% of Terra CO2 Technologies Holdings Inc., a private Delaware corporation which recently completed a US$9.2 million financing to advance its environmentally-friendly, cost-effective alternative to Portland cement. The current value of Strategic’s stock portfolio is approximately $33 million.
… as does some of the discussion over on the Strategic channel at Tommy Humphrey’s ceo.ca.
The Company’s current market cap is roughly $37.35M based on its 106.71 million shares outstanding and recent $0.35 close.
That’s it for this episode of Highballer.
Full disclosure: I currently have no relationship with any of the companies featured above. The author holds shares in Defense, Harefang, Skeena, and Strategic.Disclaimer - Legal Notice
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